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Graves vs Lee Sin, patch 16.14

402 games recorded in jungle on patch 16.14. Graves won 203, Lee Sin won 199.

Who wins Graves vs Lee Sin?

Graves 203 wins
too close vs
Lee Sin 199 wins

Too close to call: Graves' edge is -0.1 wins per 100 games (range -4.1 to 3.9) · 402 games · Pooled.

The verdict read the win rate between the two, the gold difference at minute 15 and the farm difference at minute 15.

Edge for Graves
-0.1 wins per 100 games from Graves's side
Edge for Lee Sin
-0.2 wins per 100 games from Lee Sin's side
Gold at 15
+206 Graves minus Lee Sin at minute 15
Farm at 15
+13.8 Graves minus Lee Sin at minute 15

Three things that flip it

The verdict above reads these three numbers. This is where each one sits, and how much of its own range backs the direction it points.

  1. The full game

    -0.1 wins per 100 games

    Graves won 203 and Lee Sin won 199 of the 402 games in jungle. The range on the shrunk edge covers zero, so the full game is unclear yet.

  2. Gold at 15

    +206 gold

    The range covers zero, so the lane gold is unclear yet.

  3. Farm at 15

    +13.8 farm

    The whole range puts Graves ahead in farm at minute 15.

Both sides of the pair

Each side is measured from its own seat in the same games.

Graves vs Lee Sin in jungle, patch 16.14 Edge is the shrunk win rate in these 402 shared games minus 50, in wins per 100 games from that row's side. Delta is the same rate minus that champion's own jungle average. 118,452 ranked games from EUW, Korea and NA, found by following ranked ladder players and the people they play with.
champion won of 402 edge vs own average own jungle games
Graves 203 -0.1 wins per 100 games (range -4.1 to 3.9) · 402 games · Pooled · 33% of this is borrowed from similar champions +1.2 wins per 100 games (range -3.1 to 5.5) · 402 games · Pooled · 33% of this is borrowed from similar champions 4,182
Lee Sin 199 -0.2 wins per 100 games (range -4.2 to 3.8) · 402 games · Pooled · 33% of this is borrowed from similar champions -0.6 wins per 100 games (range -4.8 to 3.6) · 402 games · Pooled · 33% of this is borrowed from similar champions 6,589
Each side needs 50 games together before it is estimated, and this page needed 300. The two raw records are exact complements; the shrunk estimates are not, because each side borrows from its own average. Every figure's full claim (value, range, games, provenance) rides on its cell.

The lane at minute 15

90 games of the 402 games stored a snapshot on both sides at this minute, 22.4% of the pair's games. The lane pool is smaller than the win rate pool above.

Graves minus Lee Sin at minute 15, patch 16.14 Each figure is Graves's number minus Lee Sin's in the same game, averaged: above zero, Graves is ahead. 118,452 ranked games from EUW, Korea and NA, found by following ranked ladder players and the people they play with.
measure difference, Graves minus Lee Sin
gold at minute 15 +206 gold (range -112 to 524) 90 games Measured
farm at minute 15 +13.8 farm (range 8.6-18.9) 90 games Measured
Gold and farm difference at minute 15, averaged over the games where both players stored a snapshot. No shrinkage is applied to a difference of means.

too closeThe two ranges overlap, so pick comfort. Too close to call: Graves minus Lee Sin is +206 gold at minute 15 (range -112 to 524) · 90 games · Measured.

Kill share between these two is not shown. It needs killer and victim pairs per game, and this store has no kill events table. Nothing is substituted for it.

What each side runs

The build and the whole rune page each side's players recorded most in jungle on patch 16.14. Most recorded does not mean strongest: these are facts about players, not a verdict. The full tables live on each build page.

Graves

jungle on patch 16.14

The build most recorded

514 games finished holding this set.

The rune page most locked in

Domination

  • Dark Harvest

Precision

Shards

Domination: Dark Harvest, then Sudden Impact, Grisly Mementos, Treasure Hunter. Precision: Legend: Alacrity, Triumph. Shards: Attack Speed, Adaptive Force, Health Scaling.

2,298 games ran this exact page.

The Graves build page · Graves counters

Lee Sin

jungle on patch 16.14

The build most recorded

693 games finished holding this set.

The rune page most locked in

Precision

  • Conqueror

Inspiration

Shards

Precision: Conqueror, then Triumph, Legend: Alacrity, Cut Down. Inspiration: Magical Footwear, Cosmic Insight. Shards: Attack Speed, Adaptive Force, Health Scaling.

5,834 games ran this exact page.

The Lee Sin build page · Lee Sin counters

How these numbers are made

The server's own notes on this pair
  • Both sides come from the same games, so the two raw win rates are exact complements. The shrunk numbers are not: each side is pulled toward its own champion average, which is the honest thing to do and makes them differ slightly.
  • Each side needs 50 games together before it is estimated, and a page needs 300.
  • The lane numbers come from the 90 of these 402 games that stored a timeline, so their pool is smaller than the win rate pool.

These numbers come from 118,452 recorded ranked games on EUW, Korea and NA, found by following ranked ladder players and the people they play with. That is not every rank and it is not every region. Everything on this page is patch 16.14. Counted up to .

Keep pulling the thread

The Graves build page · The Lee Sin build page

Recomputed . How we measure this.

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