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Caitlyn vs Ezreal, patch 16.14

382 games recorded in bot on patch 16.14. Caitlyn won 184, Ezreal won 198.

Who wins Caitlyn vs Ezreal?

Caitlyn 184 wins
too close vs
Ezreal 198 wins

Too close to call: Caitlyn's edge is -1.8 wins per 100 games (range -5.8 to 2.3) · 382 games · Pooled.

The verdict read the win rate between the two, the gold difference at minute 15 and the farm difference at minute 15.

Edge for Caitlyn
-1.8 wins per 100 games from Caitlyn's side
Edge for Ezreal
0.0 wins per 100 games from Ezreal's side
Gold at 15
-160 Caitlyn minus Ezreal at minute 15
Farm at 15
+0.8 Caitlyn minus Ezreal at minute 15

Three things that flip it

The verdict above reads these three numbers. This is where each one sits, and how much of its own range backs the direction it points.

  1. The full game

    -1.8 wins per 100 games

    Caitlyn won 184 and Ezreal won 198 of the 382 games in bot. The range on the shrunk edge covers zero, so the full game is unclear yet.

  2. Gold at 15

    -160 gold

    The range covers zero, so the lane gold is unclear yet.

  3. Farm at 15

    +0.8 farm

    The range covers zero, so the lane farm is unclear yet.

Both sides of the pair

Each side is measured from its own seat in the same games.

Caitlyn vs Ezreal in bot, patch 16.14 Edge is the shrunk win rate in these 382 shared games minus 50, in wins per 100 games from that row's side. Delta is the same rate minus that champion's own bot average. 118,452 ranked games from EUW, Korea and NA, found by following ranked ladder players and the people they play with.
champion won of 382 edge vs own average own bot games
Caitlyn 184 -1.8 wins per 100 games (range -5.8 to 2.3) · 382 games · Pooled · 34% of this is borrowed from similar champions -0.1 wins per 100 games (range -4.4 to 4.2) · 382 games · Pooled · 34% of this is borrowed from similar champions 4,696
Ezreal 198 0.0 wins per 100 games (range -4.0 to 4.1) · 382 games · Pooled · 34% of this is borrowed from similar champions +3.5 wins per 100 games (range -0.8 to 7.7) · 382 games · Pooled · 34% of this is borrowed from similar champions 5,784
Each side needs 50 games together before it is estimated, and this page needed 300. The two raw records are exact complements; the shrunk estimates are not, because each side borrows from its own average. Every figure's full claim (value, range, games, provenance) rides on its cell.

The lane at minute 15

86 games of the 382 games stored a snapshot on both sides at this minute, 22.5% of the pair's games. The lane pool is smaller than the win rate pool above.

Caitlyn minus Ezreal at minute 15, patch 16.14 Each figure is Caitlyn's number minus Ezreal's in the same game, averaged: above zero, Caitlyn is ahead. 118,452 ranked games from EUW, Korea and NA, found by following ranked ladder players and the people they play with.
measure difference, Caitlyn minus Ezreal
gold at minute 15 -160 gold (range -529 to 209) 86 games Measured
farm at minute 15 +0.8 farm (range -4.4 to 6.0) 86 games Measured
Gold and farm difference at minute 15, averaged over the games where both players stored a snapshot. No shrinkage is applied to a difference of means.

too closeThe two ranges overlap, so pick comfort. Too close to call: Caitlyn minus Ezreal is -160 gold at minute 15 (range -529 to 209) · 86 games · Measured.

Kill share between these two is not shown. It needs killer and victim pairs per game, and this store has no kill events table. Nothing is substituted for it.

What each side runs

The build and the whole rune page each side's players recorded most in bot on patch 16.14. Most recorded does not mean strongest: these are facts about players, not a verdict. The full tables live on each build page.

Caitlyn

bot on patch 16.14

The build most recorded

472 games finished holding this set.

The rune page most locked in

Precision

  • Lethal Tempo

Sorcery

Shards

Precision: Lethal Tempo, then Absorb Life, Legend: Alacrity, Last Stand. Sorcery: Absolute Focus, Gathering Storm. Shards: Attack Speed, Adaptive Force, Health.

2,338 games ran this exact page.

The Caitlyn build page · Caitlyn counters

Ezreal

bot on patch 16.14

The build most recorded

540 games finished holding this set.

The rune page most locked in

Precision

  • Lethal Tempo

Inspiration

Shards

Precision: Lethal Tempo, then Presence of Mind, Legend: Haste, Cut Down. Inspiration: Jack Of All Trades, Cash Back. Shards: Attack Speed, Adaptive Force, Health.

5,111 games ran this exact page.

The Ezreal build page · Ezreal counters

How these numbers are made

The server's own notes on this pair
  • Both sides come from the same games, so the two raw win rates are exact complements. The shrunk numbers are not: each side is pulled toward its own champion average, which is the honest thing to do and makes them differ slightly.
  • Each side needs 50 games together before it is estimated, and a page needs 300.
  • The lane numbers come from the 86 of these 382 games that stored a timeline, so their pool is smaller than the win rate pool.

These numbers come from 118,452 recorded ranked games on EUW, Korea and NA, found by following ranked ladder players and the people they play with. That is not every rank and it is not every region. Everything on this page is patch 16.14. Counted up to .

Keep pulling the thread

The Caitlyn build page · The Ezreal build page

Recomputed . How we measure this.

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